An economist analyst has warned the EU that failure to reach
a deal with the UK could result to an overwhelming recession within the
continent, reason being that the UK has an upper hand in the Brexit talks
billed to commence June.
Professor Patrick Minford speaking further, also predicted
that due to the huge debt owed by Greece, the recession would collapse due to
colossal fall in tourism and tariffs imposed on the country’s exports.
Because of the fear of losing other member nations, the EU
is pressing towards a ferociously hard hard Brexit negotiations in order to
protect the union.
Speaking to express.co.uk he said: “The people who have got
the most to lose from not having a deal with the UK are the Europeans.
“They are going to do themselves a lot of damage. They’ve
just come out of recession, they don’t need a recessionary shock like this any
more than one needs a hole in the head.
“The banking system there is as rickety as hell and they are
stuffed to the gills with government debt.
“The whole situation is very fragile and it just needs a
shock pushing it back into recession to make it quite a mess, and the euro
would fall in those circumstances.”
Also in his conclusion, he stated that: “So all this talk of
punishing Britain is very silly and very immature. This really looks like an
own goal from their point of view.”
Speaking further, he said: “The Greece problem isn’t going
away, but it’s not getting any worse for now.
“But a blow which knocks their exports is potentially quite
a recessionary impact and the particular impact in Greece could be very
significant because it’s always teetering on the edge of chaos because of the
way they’ve treated it.”
Prof Minford, who does not believe any other countries will
leave the EU said: “If we don’t get a deal with the EU we’ll be in a perfectly
good position as we’ll simply free trade with the rest of the world.
“For them the big problem is actually that we go to no deal
and we have free trade with the rest of the world.
“They will find this is a very competitive market indeed and
they will sell far less in it because stuff will be coming in from the rest of
the world without those protectionist barriers.”
Saying the election of Emmanuel Macron was a good thing for
the Brexit talks, he added: “We do want a strong Europe, we’d like them to sort
themselves out. It’s not in our interests to have them falling apart at
all.”
No comments:
Write comments