A business analyst have issued a
strong warning to Scotland to be careful otherwise, it may become a “third
world country” within a space thirty years if Nicola Sturgeon’s call for
Scottish independence continues its “addiction” to public expenditure.
According to the warning issued
by Douglas McWilliams, president of the Centre for Economics and Business
Research (CEBR), it was stated that the Scottish people could later on find
themselves facing Greek-style austerity measures trying to plug a £19bn black
hole if it successfully break away from the United Kingdom.
Presently, report has it that
Greece is about facing another financial challenges, as citizens are
withdrawing over £2bn in just few weeks due to the fear that the Greek
government will default on more debt payments that may cause them to exit the Eurozone.
According to CEBR’s forecast the
gap between Scotland’s revenue accrued from taxes and government expenditure
will become "unsustainable" to about 9.4 per cent of GDP by next
financial year - more than three times the rest of the UK as a whole.
If Scotland were independent now,
McWilliams said, that figure would be about 12 per cent of GDP.
Speaking to the Sunday Times he
said: "The only practical option would be to cut public spending.
"Because of the negative
Keynesian multiplier effects, there would need to be cuts of around 15 per cent
of GDP.
"That's roughly on the scale
of what has happened in Greece, which has led to a fall in GDP of a
quarter."
Saying that Scotland's obsession
to "tax and spend" would put the nation on course to becoming a third
world country in three decades.
First Minister Ms Sturgeon has
said a second referendum on independence is "highly likely", after
Scotland voted 62 per cent to 38 per cent to stay in the EU during the Brexit
vote.
Also, lobby group Business for
Scotland, which campaigned for independence in the first Scottish referendum of
2014, has anticipated the SNP leader will call the vote within a few weeks.
According to the group's website Scotland’s
exports almost £100bn worth of goods across the world, and would provide
"the foundation for a wealthy independent country".
Despite North Sea oil prices
tumbling, Business for Scotland maintains revenues will rise again by next
year.
A report on the website blames an
"artificially high pound" which prevented Scotland exporting to
countries with a weaker currency.
It adds: "An independent
Scotland, with its own currency, would have enjoyed the opportunity to increase
exports to countries outside the United Kingdom, allowing Scotland to achieve
its full exporting potential."
No comments:
Write comments