Thursday, 20 April 2017

June 8 general election, a strategic move to buy sufficient time for Brexit negotiation

Brexit and UK election

Sky News political analyst Faisal Islam has stated that the recently announced snap general election is all about joining mechanism and buying time to strike a final Brexit agreement with Brussels.

Having triggered Article 50, it is becoming clear that a lot of things are going out of the government’s control, even as it was predicted that the UK economy may not get in any way better within the next three years.

With the current internal crisis in the Labour Party, one would have seen Jeremy Corbyn being replaced with more accepted leader.

But with the current situation within the opposition, the PM contesting any election now would give her more chances of winning with a huge majority.

According to opposition MPs a path to "many by-elections", could possibly been seen that could cost the PM her slim majority.

Even the tiniest possibility that this might be true would have made anyone think long and hard about an option which removes this risk.

On the other hand, the current Parliament, under the Conservative Government has been accused of failing to pass its biggest fiscal measures in all of its three Budgets.

This may be because Budget document was beginning to look like a consultation paper, ready to be unpicked by the likes of Treasury-slaying Tory backbencher Stephen McPartland.

Thus, calling for a General Election makes the PM look in control - and helps her win more control.

The irony of course being she is not in control because of the Fixed Term Parliament Act.

Therefore, if the PM wins the June 8 election overwhelmingly, it will mean that, the electorates have said, go ahead you have our full support and mandate to strike the best possible deal for our country.


So by the time of the 2022 General Election, there is the opportunity for her to sign a final trade deal with the EU. Knowing that 2019 may not be feasible to sign a trade deal in the Brexit negotiation. Thus, a snap election is a low risk way to maintain and consolidate control, and crucially to buy time.

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