After several months of attacks and counter attack from
within and outside her party, the Scottish National Party (SNP), it is becoming
likely that the First Minister Nicola Sturgeon may be getting closer to getting
a nod for another Scottish independence referendum next year.
According to a report reaching news desk, a an indyref 2 is
likely after Government ministers privately agreed that they might not be able
to ignore the First Minister’s quest for another referendum.
Another source also made it known how UK ministers went
behind closed doors to accept how difficult it would be for them to reject the
demand made by the SNP, saying the worst they can do is to shift the date to
2019, immediately after Brexit negotiations are over.
Analysts have also predicted that unionist who fought to
keep Scotland in the UK in the last referendum may need to fighter much harder
to convince the Scottish people to stay in the UK.
Saying that the government would be in serious need of
heavyweights to scale through, rather than engaging the former PM Gordon Brown
and former Chancellor Alistair Darling.
The Conservatives have been the main opposition to Labour
since 2014 but leading academics warn if the No campaign is seen as Tory v the
Scottish Nationalists it will likely end in victory for Sturgeon.
James Mitchell, a professor at the University of Edinburgh, said:
“If it’s Nicola Sturgeon against Ruth Davidson, it’s game over.”
Iain Anderson, executive chairman of financial advisory
group Cicero, said: “The playbook will be different.
“There is no way that the UK government will want to run
Project Fear again.
“They need to start work much earlier and activate local
supporters.”
But then again a Project Fear campaign would be stronger now
than in 2014, as Scotland’s oil and gas proceeds have plunged abruptly.
Before votes were cast in the first poll the Scottish
government had predicted tax receipts of between £3.2 billion and £8 billion in
2018 and 2019.
But the Office for Budget Responsibility this week has put
expected receipts at £700 million.
Kezia Dugdale, the Scottish Labour leader, stated that: “We
would be faced with a £15bn deficit if we were independent, and that means less
money for our schools, hospitals, our welfare service.”
Alistair Carmichael, the sole Scottish Liberal Democrat MP,
said the No campaign must “be more positive … We’ve got to call out nationalism
for what it is.
“The idea you can be a ‘nationalist internationalist’ is for
the birds.”
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